CA Morelia vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
QRO
1 - 2
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
MOR
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
JAG
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATS
2 - 3
SNL
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 1
CAZ
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATS
72%
17%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 3
TOL
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
ATS
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |