CA Morelia vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
SAN
7 - 1
MOR
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 3
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MOR
4 - 2
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ATS
1 - 1
JAG
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 2
ATS
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
ATS
0 - 2
PUE
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PAC
0 - 2
ATS
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ATS
3 - 3
ATL
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |