CA Morelia vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
IND
0 - 1
MOR
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SNL
0 - 2
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
AME
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATS
1 - 0
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
ATS
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ATS
3 - 0
MON
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 3
ATS
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |