CA Morelia vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
4 - 1
MOR
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
MON
65%
18%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
MOR
6 - 1
KCW
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
AUR
3 - 4
MOR
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
CFS
2 - 1
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
ATS
2 - 1
ATL
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
NEC
2 - 3
ATS
56%
21%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
ATS
1 - 2
SAN
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATS
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATS
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |