CA Morelia vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 4
TIG
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
IRA
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
QRO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
5 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
PUE
40%
25%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
EST
73%
17%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |