CA Morelia vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 2
MOR
21%
26%
54%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 2
QRO
67%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
GAL
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
PUM
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 2
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
EST
0 - 2
JAG
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
PAC
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |