CA Morelia vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 5
NEC
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MON
2 - 1
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
JAG
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 3
MOR
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
CAZ
5 - 2
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
NEC
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 2
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EST
3 - 2
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |