CA Morelia vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 3
MOR
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 1
PAC
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
JAG
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUE
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
EST
2 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 1
EST
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
EST
2 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SNL
0 - 0
EST
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
EST
1 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |