Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 7-2
CA Morelia vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
EST
1 - 3
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUM
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOR
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 1
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
6 - 0
NEC
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
EST
1 - 3
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
EST
2 - 0
JAG
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
AME
2 - 1
EST
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
PUE
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
QRO
2 - 0
EST
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |