CA Morelia vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 0
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 2
MOR
22%
25%
54%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 3
SNL
62%
23%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
MOR
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
DOR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 2
MOR
22%
25%
54%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 2
LOB
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
DOR
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |