CA Morelia vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
VER
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SNL
2 - 1
MOR
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MOR
3 - 4
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
43%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
AME
1 - 0
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |