CA Morelia vs CD Tapatío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
MOR
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
UDG
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ZAC
2 - 0
MOR
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
MER
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
SPT
0 - 1
MOR
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 2
DOR
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
2 - 1
UAT
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
CIM
1 - 1
CDT
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
TIA
1 - 2
CDT
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
2 - 1
UDG
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |