CA Morelia vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
TIG
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 2
EST
57%
22%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
LDA
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LDA
0 - 1
PFC
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LDA
1 - 0
BEL
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
LDA
1 - 0
MOT
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LDA
4 - 0
PER
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +2 |