Moreland City vs St Albans Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
14º
14º
25
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AVH
5 - 1
MCF
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MCF
1 - 1
POR
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 2
MCF
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 1
GRE
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MCF
4 - 0
DAN
14%
17%
69%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +4 |
Matches
St Albans Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
MEL
12%
19%
70%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
DAC
2 - 0
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AVH
2 - 1
STA
89%
9%
3%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
3 - 5
POR
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
STA
1 - 4
SOU
5%
16%
79%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |