Moreland City vs Port Melbourne Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
71%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-69%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
14º
14º
33
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 2
MCF
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 1
GRE
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MCF
4 - 0
DAN
14%
17%
69%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +3 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
MCF
89%
8%
4%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 3
ALM
12%
16%
72%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
MEL
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
3 - 5
POR
10%
17%
73%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AVH
5 - 1
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
DAC
65%
18%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POR
2 - 3
SOU
21%
25%
55%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |