Moreland City vs North Geelong Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
14º
12º
14
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AVH
7 - 0
MCF
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 1
ALM
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
MCF
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MCF
2 - 1
BEN
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
MCF
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
North Geelong Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 4
HUM
12%
18%
71%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NGW
1 - 4
AVH
5%
11%
84%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
NGW
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 2
POR
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 3
NGW
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +2 |