Moreland City vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
14º
14º
28
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
MCF
89%
8%
4%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 3
ALM
12%
16%
72%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
HEU
3 - 2
MCF
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MCF
1 - 4
MNG
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HUM
3 - 2
MCF
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 3
MEL
30%
23%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 0
STA
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 8
AVH
11%
19%
71%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
DAN
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 2
SOU
14%
22%
64%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |