Moreirense vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JDL
1 - 3
MOR
4%
10%
86%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
MOR
28%
28%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TRO
0 - 3
MOR
14%
24%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 1
OLI
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 3
VIL
13%
20%
67%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 2
BEN
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |