Moreirense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
MOR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
BMA
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 1
TRO
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 3
MOR
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UNM
0 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
UNM
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
UNM
2 - 3
MAR
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 0
UNM
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
UNM
0 - 1
TRO
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |