Moreirense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
FEL
3 - 0
MOR
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
MOR
5 - 1
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MOR
2 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 2
LEX
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
NAV
3 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
ACA
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 0
NAV
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
NAV
0 - 1
CHA
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |