Moreirense vs Lousada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BMA
1 - 2
MOR
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
UNM
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
MOR
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
BMA
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 1
TRO
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lousada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MIR
4 - 1
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
LOU
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 2
OSL
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
LOU
65%
22%
12%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
2 - 1
FAM
16%
23%
61%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | +2 |