Moreirense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
GFC
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
MOR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 2
MOR
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USA
1 - 2
MOR
8%
17%
75%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
LAZ
2 - 1
FCP
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
MOR
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 5
FCP
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |