Moreirense vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
FCM
0 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
MOR
3 - 0
SPC
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAI
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
FEI
2 - 1
MOR
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
EST
3 - 4
CHA
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
EST
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 0
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
2 - 1
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
FCB
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |