Moreirense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
UNM
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
PAÇ
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
MOR
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
MOR
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
GFC
0 - 0
MOR
21%
24%
56%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 3
AVE
10%
20%
70%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 0
AVE
37%
26%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 0
FAF
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |