Moreirense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
8º
6º
10
2º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 13% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 21.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1% | 28% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 1
MOR
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 1
ARO
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 2
MOR
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
3 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
PAÇ
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SLB
1 - 0
ESA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
2 - 0
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SLB
0 - 1
FUL
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SLB
5 - 0
FEY
45%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |