Moreirense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
69.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
ARO
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
MOR
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VST
2 - 1
MOR
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARO
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 4
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 0
ARO
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 3
SLB
13%
22%
66%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |