Moreirense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 0
MOR
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SPB
0 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
ACA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
OLI
2 - 1
MOR
10%
19%
71%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
SLB
3 - 3
SCP
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
SLB
0 - 2
BMA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SLB
4 - 0
BOA
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
4 - 1
ADO
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 38 | 47 | 0 |