Moreirense vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
MOR
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
FEI
1 - 2
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 0
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
VST
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 2
RIO
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FEI
0 - 2
ARO
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 0
ARO
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
PAÇ
27%
26%
46%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SCP
3 - 0
ARO
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |