Moreirense vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
BMA
1 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 0
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
GFC
1 - 0
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
BOA
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
ALV
2 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 0
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ACA
4 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |