Moreirense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
SCP
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 4
SPB
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
HAP
2 - 0
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ACA
3 - 0
TOU
80%
14%
5%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
GFC
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |