Morecambe vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CUM
3 - 2
MOR
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BCF
3 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
OLD
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
STE
1 - 0
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 1
MKD
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
SWI
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 2
SWI
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
TRA
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 1
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |