Morecambe vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 2
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 3
CUM
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 1
STC
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 3
CRA
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
STE
1 - 2
PLY
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
STE
2 - 2
BHA
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 0
STE
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
STE
0 - 2
EXE
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WYC
1 - 0
STE
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |