Morecambe vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
HAR
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LUT
2 - 3
MOR
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAM
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 1
MOR
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WYC
1 - 0
STF
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
STF
1 - 1
CAM
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
STA
1 - 2
STF
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
STF
1 - 2
NOR
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
STF
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |