Morecambe vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GRI
1 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
CRE
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 2
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GRI
2 - 1
MOR
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HUR
0 - 1
ROC
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
ATH
1 - 4
ROC
12%
18%
71%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ROC
3 - 1
ROT
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
OPA
3 - 0
ROC
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 2
COV
22%
26%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |