Morecambe vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 2
MOR
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 7
NEW
8%
17%
76%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 5
CAM
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
OLD
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
TOW
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EXE
0 - 2
POR
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
FLE
2 - 1
POR
52%
23%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
POR
2 - 0
CRA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
TRA
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |