Morecambe vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
MOR
33%
26%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 2
MOR
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
STF
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
MOR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 2
POR
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
DAG
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUL
2 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |