Morecambe vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
CRE
2 - 1
MOR
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
LUT
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
COV
2 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
WYC
2 - 0
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 2
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 2
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 3
GRI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CRE
1 - 2
PLY
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 0
PLY
16%
20%
64%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
PLY
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |