Morecambe vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
AFC
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
CUM
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 1
LUT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
PLY
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PLY
2 - 2
OXF
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
PLY
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PLY
1 - 0
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |