Morecambe vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 2
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
MOR
33%
26%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 2
MOR
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
OXF
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
PLY
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 0
ALD
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
PLY
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 0
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |