Morecambe vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
3 - 3
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
MOR
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
ALD
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
MOR
51%
23%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
STE
0 - 0
OXF
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 1
ROT
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GIL
0 - 0
OXF
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
OXF
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
OXF
1 - 1
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |