Morecambe vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 2
ROC
21%
21%
57%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GRI
1 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
CRE
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
OLD
0 - 1
LEY
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
OLD
3 - 0
CUM
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OLD
2 - 1
LIN
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 0
OLD
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
OLD
5 - 0
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |