Morecambe vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
NEW
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
PLY
3 - 0
MOR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
CUM
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CRE
5 - 0
MOR
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
OLD
2 - 1
CRA
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
SWI
2 - 0
OLD
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEY
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
OLD
0 - 1
BUR
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |