Morecambe vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
STE
1 - 0
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
PNE
3 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
6%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
EXE
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CRE
6 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
YEO
0 - 0
OLD
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
OLD
3 - 1
MAC
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
OLD
0 - 2
DER
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
OLD
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
OLD
1 - 2
MKD
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |