Morecambe vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 3
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 0
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
WIG
1 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DON
1 - 0
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 1
GIL
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 4
NOT
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 0
STA
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 1
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |