Morecambe vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 1
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
MOR
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
COV
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
STF
2 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 1
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 3
CAM
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 0
GRI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
LUT
1 - 1
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 2
OXF
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |