Morecambe vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
STE
1 - 0
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
PNE
3 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
6%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
EXE
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CRE
6 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 3
FLE
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 2
CAM
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
WYC
1 - 1
NOR
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 2
NOR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 1
LIN
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
NOR
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |