Morecambe vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
STA
5 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DAG
1 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
4 - 1
NEW
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
SOU
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PLY
5 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 3
ROC
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
EXE
0 - 1
NOR
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SCU
1 - 1
NOR
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
BRO
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |