Morecambe vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 1
MOR
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 0
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
OXF
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
STF
1 - 1
NOR
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWI
19%
26%
56%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 3
BUR
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
CRE
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |