Morecambe vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
GUL
2 - 2
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ALD
4 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
STF
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DAG
1 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
LIN
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BCF
2 - 2
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
BOU
36%
25%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 2
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 1
ROT
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |