Morecambe vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAM
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OXF
3 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
PLY
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 1
MOR
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
3 - 2
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
STE
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
CUM
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 2
NEW
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 4
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |